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Red31
41042.8
214718.6
369318.0
Blue43
322014.8
44956.9
159525.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333210204050603143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.2
15.014.8
Auto0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 6.4
25.00.7
14.415.1
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Second
18.00.2
13.112.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 3.2
14.80.5
14.515.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Third
4104
#27
2.80.2
6.05.7
Auto0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4495
#24
6.90.7
4.55.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0