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Red7
406118.8
577913.0
378913.3
Blue45
511120.9
41259.3
412012.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372006080100745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.80.8
15.915.0
Auto0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 2.1
20.91.7
11.413.1
Auto0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
3789
#23
13.30.8
9.99.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 1.2
4120
#18
12.11.7
5.47.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Third
5779
#17
13.00.8
9.68.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 3.7
4125
#25
9.31.7
6.78.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0