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Red62
498018.2
408210.2
214916.0
Blue90
387614.4
451319.1
358614.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33280204060801006290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.22.2
13.715.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 0.9
19.15.1
11.716.9
Auto0.3
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
2149
#14
16.02.2
11.914.1
Auto0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 1.6
3876
#10
14.45.1
8.613.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
4082
#19
10.22.2
7.710.0
Auto0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 4.0
3586
#11
14.23.3
9.612.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0