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Red46
292313.6
460810.2
255721.5
Blue30
29449.5
255511.5
292816.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3824060801004630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#15
21.50.5
15.916.4
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 5.1
2928
#16
16.40.2
13.313.6
Auto0.5
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Second
2923
#12
13.60.7
13.314.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 2.1
11.50.2
6.16.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
4608
#22
10.20.7
7.68.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 0.7
2944
#21
9.50.2
7.78.0
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0