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Red37
21482.9
159525.0
406118.8
Blue36
491816.5
369318.0
387614.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303602060801001201403736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.3
15.115.5
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 6.9
18.00.4
12.913.3
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
18.80.3
15.015.4
Auto0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 2.3
4918
#13
16.50.4
10.310.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
2148
#26
2.90.4
2.12.5
Auto0.2
Teleop2.8
End0.0
blue by 11.5
3876
#10
14.40.4
13.714.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.5
End0.0