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Red25
292816.4
378913.3
255511.5
Blue26
322014.8
41042.8
358614.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27330204060801001202526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#16
16.40.3
13.613.3
Auto0.5
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 1.6
14.80.4
15.014.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Second
3789
#23
13.30.3
9.18.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 0.9
3586
#11
14.20.4
12.912.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
11.50.3
6.36.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 8.7
4104
#27
2.80.6
5.75.2
Auto0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0