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Red44
214718.6
498018.2
44956.9
Blue90
511120.9
412012.1
577913.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362702060801004490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.6
14.815.4
Auto0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 2.3
20.94.4
13.117.5
Auto0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
18.20.6
15.916.5
Auto0.3
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 5.2
5779
#17
13.04.4
8.813.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
4495
#24
6.90.6
5.35.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 5.2
4120
#18
12.14.4
7.111.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0