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Red23
408210.2
451319.1
37120.8
Blue19
460810.2
491816.5
41259.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32250204060801002319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.6
16.916.2
Auto0.3
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 2.6
4918
#13
16.50.2
10.710.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Second
4082
#19
10.20.6
10.09.3
Auto0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Level
4608
#22
10.20.2
8.38.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Third
3712
#28
0.80.6
5.14.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.8
End0.0
blue by 8.5
4125
#25
9.30.2
8.48.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0