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Red44
292816.4
255721.5
491816.5
Blue8
378913.3
214718.6
37120.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41250206080100448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#15
21.50.2
15.916.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 2.9
18.61.4
15.414.0
Auto0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
4918
#13
16.50.3
10.510.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 3.2
3789
#23
13.31.4
8.87.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
2928
#16
16.40.3
13.313.6
Auto0.5
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 15.7
3712
#28
0.81.4
4.53.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.8
End0.0