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Red0
408210.2
321912.8
41042.8
Blue12
214916.0
21482.9
577913.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22270406080100120012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3219
#20
12.80.8
9.38.6
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 3.1
2149
#14
16.01.0
12.511.5
Auto0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Second
4082
#19
10.20.8
9.38.5
Auto0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 2.8
5779
#17
13.01.0
13.212.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
4104
#27
2.80.8
5.24.4
Auto0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0
blue by 0.1
2148
#26
2.91.0
1.80.8
Auto0.2
Teleop2.8
End0.0