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Red56
41259.3
406118.8
292816.4
Blue28
292313.6
369318.0
44956.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372902060801005628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.81.3
15.416.6
Auto0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 0.8
18.00.6
13.313.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
2928
#16
16.41.2
13.614.7
Auto0.5
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 2.9
2923
#12
13.60.6
12.513.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
4125
#25
9.31.3
8.29.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 2.4
4495
#24
6.90.5
5.96.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0