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Red56
577913.0
491816.5
214718.6
Blue74
214916.0
255511.5
255721.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3634010203040506070805674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.61.2
14.015.2
Auto0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 2.9
2557
#15
21.51.9
16.118.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
4918
#13
16.51.2
10.811.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 0.5
2149
#14
16.02.3
11.513.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
5779
#17
13.01.2
12.213.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 1.6
11.52.3
8.110.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0