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Red2
358614.2
498018.2
460810.2
Blue7
387614.4
37120.8
322014.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4132020608010012027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.22.4
18.616.2
Auto0.3
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 3.4
14.81.1
15.114.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Second
3586
#11
14.22.0
12.510.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 0.2
3876
#10
14.41.3
16.014.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
4608
#22
10.22.4
10.07.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 9.5
3712
#28
0.81.3
3.11.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.8
End0.0