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Red58
406118.8
321912.8
412012.1
Blue12
29449.5
41042.8
41259.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3919060801001205812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.81.3
16.617.9
Auto0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 9.3
2944
#21
9.50.7
9.28.5
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Second
3219
#20
12.81.3
8.69.8
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 3.5
4125
#25
9.30.7
9.58.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Third
4120
#18
12.11.3
12.213.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 9.3
4104
#27
2.80.7
4.43.7
Auto0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0