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Red30
511120.9
387614.4
21482.9
Blue34
292313.6
255511.5
408210.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34320204060803034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.1
17.517.6
Auto0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 7.3
2923
#12
13.60.0
13.013.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Second
3876
#10
14.40.1
14.714.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 3.0
11.50.0
10.410.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
2148
#26
2.90.1
2.92.9
Auto0.2
Teleop2.8
End0.0
blue by 7.3
4082
#19
10.20.0
10.210.2
Auto0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0