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Red52
44956.9
255721.5
451319.1
Blue0
41042.8
412012.1
37120.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4713020406080100120520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#15
21.50.4
18.118.5
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 9.4
4120
#18
12.11.1
13.412.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Second
19.10.5
18.619.1
Auto0.3
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 16.3
4104
#27
2.81.1
3.72.7
Auto0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0
Third
4495
#24
6.90.5
6.46.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
red by 6.1
3712
#28
0.81.1
1.80.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.8
End0.0