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Red25
17166.8
478624.3
402121.0
Blue67
70626.6
401124.5
253026.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385901001502002567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#15
24.31.0
24.923.9
Auto0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 2.2
706
#13
26.60.8
24.825.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
4021
#32
21.01.5
14.513.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
2530
#36
26.20.8
15.115.9
Auto1.4
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Third
1716
#50
6.80.9
3.52.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 17.7
4011
#24
24.50.5
18.018.5
Auto1.0
Teleop23.6
End0.0