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Red52
173231.7
417415.8
109117.6
Blue96
53719.9
219420.6
288348.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587601001502002503005296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#11
31.70.6
31.430.8
Auto0.5
Teleop31.2
End0.0
blue by 16.3
48.01.1
40.541.6
Auto0.8
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Second
1091
#35
17.60.9
19.418.4
Auto0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 2.9
2194
#37
20.61.7
14.416.0
Auto0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
4174
#26
15.80.9
12.411.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 4.1
537
#23
19.91.7
21.222.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0