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Red112
96728.5
373417.2
233845.4
Blue66
42476.8
8111.5
462427.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6247020408010012014011266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.44.2
28.632.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop45.5
End0.0
red by 17.6
4624
#33
27.80.7
28.028.7
Auto0.4
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
967
#25
28.54.2
22.426.6
Auto0.5
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 17.0
81
#43
11.51.2
11.612.8
Auto1.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
Third
3734
#42
17.24.2
11.115.3
Auto0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 10.5
4247
#56
6.81.2
11.512.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.8
End0.0