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Qual 322015 Wisconsin Regional
Red24
327811.9
401124.5
93013.4
Blue37
359616.8
369217.5
308121.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434202060802437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4011
#24
24.51.0
18.5→17.5
Auto1.0
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 3.3
3081
#17
21.20.6
19.3→18.6
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Second
930
#54
13.41.6
14.4→12.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 4.1
3692
#40
17.50.6
10.6→9.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
3278
#46
11.91.6
10.5→8.9
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 4.9
3596
#38
16.80.6
14.7→14.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0