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Red76
53719.9
27921.5
359616.8
Blue121
207735.1
178118.0
250620.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56450208010012076121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
#29
21.51.6
22.023.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 13.7
35.16.0
23.429.4
Auto0.3
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Second
537
#23
19.91.6
20.522.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 1.0
2506
#12
20.96.0
13.519.5
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
3596
#38
16.81.6
14.015.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 1.2
1781
#44
18.06.0
12.018.0
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0