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Red16
373417.2
16711.1
308121.2
Blue31
167518.5
9331.3
478624.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457401001502001631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3081
#17
21.22.4
18.616.2
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 10.1
93
#22
31.32.1
29.327.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
3734
#42
17.22.4
15.312.8
Auto0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 7.1
4786
#15
24.32.1
23.621.5
Auto0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
167
#48
11.12.4
17.414.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 7.4
1675
#39
18.53.4
19.416.0
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0