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Qual 492015 Wisconsin Regional
Red103
282654.5
327731.9
335215.9
Blue135
327811.9
288348.0
465541.2
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59730100150200250103135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#5
54.53.8
32.4→36.2
Auto7.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 6.5
2883
#1
48.03.1
41.8→44.9
Auto0.8
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Second
3277
#7
31.92.3
24.5→26.8
Auto1.7
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 9.4
4655
#3
41.25.1
22.9→28.0
Auto0.8
Teleop40.4
End0.0
Third
3352
#45
15.93.8
6.3→10.2
Auto1.0
Teleop14.9
End0.0
red by 4.0
3278
#46
11.95.1
8.9→14.0
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0