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Red35
509613.8
28308.2
329819.0
Blue42
559512.4
253026.2
173231.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2265040801001201401603542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3298
#27
19.00.3
14.414.7
Auto1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 12.7
1732
#11
31.71.0
28.928.0
Auto0.5
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Second
5096
#31
13.80.4
11.511.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 12.3
2530
#36
26.21.6
17.315.7
Auto1.4
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Third
2830
#55
8.20.4
3.94.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 4.2
5595
#34
12.41.6
14.813.2
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0