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Qual 642015 Wisconsin Regional
Red86
288348.0
28308.2
308121.2
Blue69
481810.4
373417.2
171426.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724401001508669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#1
48.00.8
46.9→47.7
Auto0.8
Teleop47.2
End0.0
red by 21.9
1714
#19
26.10.9
25.1→26.0
Auto0.3
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
3081
#17
21.21.3
16.0→17.3
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 4.0
3734
#42
17.21.6
16.3→17.9
Auto0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
2830
#55
8.21.3
7.5→8.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 2.1
4818
#57
10.40.9
8.6→9.6
Auto0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0