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Red23
42476.8
53719.9
26922.0
Blue82
465541.2
402121.0
359616.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63622040801001202382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
269
#14
22.03.4
27.424.0
Auto1.5
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 19.2
41.23.3
34.037.3
Auto0.8
Teleop40.4
End0.0
Second
537
#23
19.93.4
22.419.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4021
#32
21.03.3
19.022.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
4247
#56
6.83.4
13.610.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 10.1
3596
#38
16.83.3
13.116.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0