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Red80
282654.5
8111.5
558611.3
Blue33
310223.8
369217.5
167518.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60572040801008033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.51.5
41.643.1
Auto7.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 30.7
3102
#28
23.81.0
23.922.8
Auto0.8
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
81
#43
11.51.5
9.110.7
Auto1.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 7.0
1675
#39
18.51.7
20.518.8
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
5586
#49
11.31.5
11.012.6
Auto1.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 6.2
3692
#40
17.51.7
15.113.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.5
End0.0