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Red56
417415.8
329819.0
250620.9
Blue134
401124.5
480417.3
233845.4
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5069010015020025056134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#12
20.90.1
25.525.6
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 24.5
45.45.4
37.442.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop45.5
End0.0
Second
3298
#27
19.00.1
15.415.5
Auto1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 5.5
4011
#24
24.53.3
18.421.6
Auto1.0
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Third
4174
#26
15.80.1
13.713.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 1.5
4804
#18
17.35.4
13.218.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0