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Red49
17166.8
206244.7
327811.9
Blue58
173231.7
509613.8
9331.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions428101001502004958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.1
31.431.3
Auto2.8
Teleop41.9
End0.0
red by 12.9
1732
#11
31.71.0
30.029.1
Auto0.5
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Second
3278
#46
11.90.1
13.713.7
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 19.4
93
#22
31.31.0
29.728.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Third
1716
#50
6.80.0
4.74.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 7.0
5096
#31
13.81.6
17.916.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0