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Red52
8111.5
109117.6
402121.0
Blue130
341834.5
465541.2
308121.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4882010015020052130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4021
#32
21.00.3
22.322.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 20.2
41.23.9
37.341.2
Auto0.8
Teleop40.4
End0.0
Second
1091
#35
17.60.3
22.422.1
Auto0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 16.9
34.53.9
25.229.1
Auto2.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Third
81
#43
11.50.3
10.710.4
Auto1.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 9.7
3081
#17
21.23.9
17.321.2
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0