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Red31
373417.2
327811.9
509613.8
Blue50
252633.8
320617.1
42969.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436301001502003150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3734
#42
17.21.3
17.916.6
Auto0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 16.6
2526
#16
33.80.6
34.934.3
Auto0.6
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Second
5096
#31
13.81.3
16.315.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 3.2
3206
#30
17.10.9
19.218.3
Auto0.3
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Third
3278
#46
11.91.3
13.712.3
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 2.6
4296
#53
9.30.9
8.07.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0