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Red78
250620.9
220225.2
310223.8
Blue116
319711.2
173231.7
216934.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6866405060809010011078116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#21
25.20.4
21.822.2
Auto1.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 9.7
34.92.4
31.533.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Second
3102
#28
23.80.4
22.823.2
Auto0.8
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 7.9
1732
#11
31.72.4
29.131.4
Auto0.5
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Third
2506
#12
20.90.6
25.626.2
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 9.7
3197
#51
11.23.7
8.211.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0