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Red74
369217.5
130613.8
247026.1
Blue78
9331.3
417415.8
253026.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476101001502002503007478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#20
26.11.8
23.725.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
93
#22
31.30.9
28.729.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
3692
#40
17.51.8
13.415.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 8.7
2530
#36
26.21.4
18.119.4
Auto1.4
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Third
1306
#52
13.81.8
13.515.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4174
#26
15.81.4
13.815.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0