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Red22
354626.2
357231.6
85845.1
Blue4
278110.8
516228.3
362041.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10473050150200224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#17
45.10.0
45.145.1
Auto0.5
Teleop44.6
End0.0
red by 3.5
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.8
End0.0
Second
3572
#31
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0
red by 3.4
5162
#24
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Third
3546
#30
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto1.7
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 15.4
2781
#25
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0