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Red70
150253.6
191866.5
323433.2
Blue120
335731.6
205467.9
496771.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14416905010020025030035070120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.50.0
66.566.5
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
blue by 5.2
4967
#12
71.70.0
71.771.7
Auto10.5
Teleop61.2
End0.0
Second
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto0.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
blue by 14.2
67.90.0
67.967.9
Auto14.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
Third
3234
#28
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto1.3
Teleop31.9
End0.0
red by 1.6
3357
#21
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.6
End0.0