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Red42
277134.0
357231.6
400354.9
Blue40
557421.4
14143.4
571034.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121910501502004240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#10
54.90.0
54.954.9
Auto10.8
Teleop44.1
End0.0
red by 11.5
141
#27
43.40.0
43.443.4
Auto0.8
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Second
2771
#23
34.00.0
34.034.0
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
blue by 0.4
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Third
3572
#31
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0
red by 10.2
5574
#26
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0