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Red4
8576.0
323433.2
335731.6
Blue39
85845.1
295971.6
550218.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13712950100150200439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#20
76.00.0
76.076.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop76.5
End0.0
red by 4.4
2959
#16
71.60.0
71.671.6
Auto0.4
Teleop71.2
End0.0
Second
3234
#28
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto1.3
Teleop31.9
End0.0
blue by 11.9
858
#17
45.10.0
45.145.1
Auto0.5
Teleop44.6
End0.0
Third
3357
#21
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.6
End0.0
red by 13.5
5502
#29
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0