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Red65
554723.2
8576.0
516228.3
Blue162
496771.7
354762.4
571034.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11417105015020025030065162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#20
76.00.0
76.076.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop76.5
End0.0
red by 4.3
4967
#12
71.70.0
71.771.7
Auto10.5
Teleop61.2
End0.0
Second
5162
#24
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.3
End0.0
blue by 34.1
62.40.0
62.462.4
Auto1.5
Teleop60.9
End0.0
Third
5547
Unranked
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 11.1
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop34.5
End0.0