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Red88
278110.8
207554.5
295971.6
Blue176
362041.6
191866.5
240543.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129149010020030040088176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#16
71.60.0
71.671.6
Auto0.4
Teleop71.2
End0.0
red by 5.2
66.50.0
66.566.5
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
2075
#18
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto2.4
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 11.1
2405
#14
43.40.0
43.443.4
Auto1.1
Teleop42.3
End0.0
Third
2781
#25
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 30.8
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.8
End0.0