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Red95
387538.4
205467.9
354626.2
Blue0
357231.6
335731.6
14143.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13397050150200950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.0
67.967.9
Auto14.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
red by 24.4
141
#27
43.40.0
43.443.4
Auto0.8
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Second
3875
#15
38.40.0
38.438.4
Auto0.4
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 6.7
3572
#31
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0
Third
3546
#30
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto1.7
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 5.4
3357
#21
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.6
End0.0