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Red98
547320.5
150253.6
90439.4
Blue68
85845.1
277134.0
448228.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111024060801201401601809868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto0.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
red by 8.5
858
#17
45.10.0
45.145.1
Auto0.5
Teleop44.6
End0.0
Second
904
#19
39.40.0
39.439.4
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 5.4
2771
#23
34.00.0
34.034.0
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Third
5473
#22
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto1.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 7.9
4482
#13
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto1.9
Teleop26.5
End0.0