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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Western Canada Regional
Red135
201349.1
433453.4
462521.1
Blue126
148222.9
401027.4
460424.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17878050100150200250135126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#1
53.40.5
54.1→53.7
Auto10.9
Teleop37.0
End5.5
red by 26.1
4010
#11
27.40.6
26.7→27.4
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End2.9
Second
2013
#2
49.10.5
49.8→49.3
Auto14.9
Teleop24.7
End9.5
red by 24.7
4604
#18
24.40.7
23.7→24.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Third
4625
#26
21.10.5
21.9→21.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End2.2
blue by 1.8
1482
#16
22.90.6
22.3→22.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End4.7