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Red195
201349.1
433453.4
462521.1
Blue112
21629.4
463427.2
501529.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1739650150200250195112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.6
53.754.2
Auto10.9
Teleop37.0
End5.5
red by 23.6
5015
#23
29.90.1
30.130.2
Auto5.3
Teleop20.2
End4.3
Second
49.10.6
49.349.9
Auto14.9
Teleop24.7
End9.5
red by 19.7
216
#25
29.40.1
29.629.7
Auto9.5
Teleop15.6
End4.3
Third
4625
#26
21.10.6
21.322.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End2.2
blue by 6.1
27.20.1
27.427.6
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End5.0