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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Western Canada Regional
Red113
589725.1
572523.1
563025.7
Blue106
21629.4
463427.2
501529.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86110204060100120140160180113106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5630
#24
25.70.5
25.4→25.9
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End4.2
blue by 4.2
5015
#23
29.90.0
29.5→29.5
Auto5.3
Teleop20.2
End4.3
Second
5897
#13
25.10.5
24.7→25.3
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End4.0
blue by 4.3
216
#25
29.40.0
29.1→29.1
Auto9.5
Teleop15.6
End4.3
Third
5725
#6
23.10.5
22.8→23.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End4.3
blue by 4.1
4634
#7
27.20.0
26.8→26.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End5.0