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Semifinal 2-12016 Western Canada Regional
Red107
321139.3
462729.0
393324.0
Blue153
461334.8
608231.4
617825.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181076080100140160180107153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#5
39.30.2
40.0→39.8
Auto13.4
Teleop21.3
End4.6
red by 4.6
4613
#12
34.80.5
33.4→33.9
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End5.4
Second
4627
#3
29.00.2
29.7→29.5
Auto7.3
Teleop18.3
End3.4
blue by 2.4
6082
#4
31.40.5
29.9→30.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Third
3933
#30
24.00.2
24.7→24.5
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End3.3
blue by 1.1
6178
#17
25.10.5
23.6→24.2
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End3.5