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Red49
506412.4
393324.0
321628.1
Blue87
511713.5
604121.1
321139.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536702040801001201404987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3216
#15
28.10.5
18.417.9
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End4.2
blue by 11.3
39.31.3
30.131.4
Auto13.4
Teleop21.3
End4.6
Second
3933
#30
24.00.3
19.819.4
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End3.3
red by 2.9
6041
#21
21.11.6
17.118.7
Auto6.7
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Third
5064
#36
12.40.5
15.414.9
Auto1.5
Teleop9.8
End1.2
blue by 1.0
5117
#33
13.51.6
15.517.1
Auto1.5
Teleop10.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsMissed57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed