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Red91
201349.1
608231.4
460424.4
Blue67
462521.1
610620.1
401027.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88370501001502002509167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.9
43.744.6
Auto14.9
Teleop24.7
End9.5
red by 21.7
4010
#11
27.41.9
17.819.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End2.9
Second
31.41.5
17.118.6
Auto6.9
Teleop20.3
End4.2
red by 10.3
4625
#26
21.12.6
14.517.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End2.2
Third
4604
#18
24.41.5
17.018.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End3.9
red by 4.2
6106
#20
20.11.8
11.112.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed