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Red44
462521.1
148222.9
449715.7
Blue37
506412.4
616924.3
460424.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5356304050607080904437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1482
#16
22.91.3
18.917.6
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End4.7
blue by 1.4
4604
#18
24.41.8
18.516.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Second
4625
#26
21.12.1
17.115.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End2.2
blue by 3.2
6169
#22
24.31.8
19.417.7
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End3.6
Third
4497
#19
15.72.1
17.315.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End2.1
red by 3.2
5064
#36
12.41.8
14.913.1
Auto1.5
Teleop9.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed