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Red86
608231.4
507825.8
462729.0
Blue79
401027.4
321139.3
463318.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606501001502002508679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.41.9
18.620.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.3
End4.2
blue by 8.0
39.31.3
31.432.7
Auto13.4
Teleop21.3
End4.6
Second
29.01.4
21.923.3
Auto7.3
Teleop18.3
End3.4
red by 1.6
4010
#11
27.41.2
19.720.9
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End2.9
Third
25.81.9
18.820.7
Auto4.5
Teleop16.0
End5.3
red by 7.2
4633
#31
18.61.8
11.413.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed