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Red67
563025.7
401027.4
148222.9
Blue27
600816.8
559710.4
604121.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635101001502002506727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#11
27.40.5
20.921.5
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End2.9
red by 6.2
6041
#21
21.13.2
19.316.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Second
5630
#24
25.70.8
20.921.7
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End4.2
red by 8.9
6008
#29
16.83.2
19.015.8
Auto7.8
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Third
1482
#16
22.90.5
17.618.1
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End4.7
red by 12.5
5597
#35
10.43.2
12.79.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed